I invite anyone who reads this or who has problems to ask questions with a clear focus no matter who it is or whether I have a sponsored forum or not. We are better off coming in with an open mind as am I. Well...this should be a long one. Here is my best shot.
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Just to reframe things, I have no problem with a stick forward approach.
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I am glad that is clarified. I will try to tackle a few of the issues and try to give you as many benefits to this approach as possible. As anything with goaltending I would only expect goaltenders to use this approach if they are comfortable with it. The key is to try it properly and see if it has merit for you. We do not force our students to adopt this but we do expect them to try it (as part of being coachable) and the conversion to this approach rarely takes more than one day in camp when our WHL, NCAA, AHL and NHL shooters can pick holes and generate rebounds at will.
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I still have issues with having the opportunity to take a shot and direct the rebound to a safe area with a high rate of success versus deflecting it into the torso...
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I need to ask which is the safer area: the torso(gut trap), the corners, or the front of the net? I would always rather the rebound come into the stomach than possibly stay in play where the opposition has a chance to recover the puck.
I would like to show one of the pics from the side again. Notice that once the puck ramps up the stick it will take a straight course into the gut rather than the chest. The laws of geometry and physics would back me up on this.
As long as the stick and hands are forward and the butterfly technique is strong with an upright body position the puck should not even get chest height. The only way the puck comes higher than the lower torso is if the old habit of bringing the stick back occurs or if the goaltender prematurely tries to collapse on the puck. Like the gut trap the body does not collapse until contact with the puck. As long as the hands are forward and stick is forward the goaltender is not in danger of injury(if goalies were getting hurt I would stop teaching it immediately).
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...which should be in the vicinoty of the front of the net with a success rate that I cannot determine.
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Myself and our students who use this across most levels of hockey find this provides a greater success rate for retention at the body which is the number one rebound priority. Again, I have seen NHL goalies down to Atom goalies who have given up too many goals because the stick was too tight to the pads or too upright only to have the rebound go to right back in front or to the open man back door for a rebound goal. The success rate when performed properly is just as high as the other approach if not a little higher.
Speaking of safe spots. With a stick forward approach the puck can hit the heel of the stick, without even moving the stick, and will automatically gain elevation towards the corner or over the boards which is safer than a rebound low. If the puck is shot off center the stick needs to only move half the distance without opening up holes through the arms where as the old stick flip can cause two major problems: holes through the body and an improperly timed flick may result in a goal if the on-ice seal is not tight. Again watch five hole goals in the NHL in slow motion and how many times do you see a wrist flip that is improperly timed. I know I am not just seeing things, I need to be analytical to be a good goalie coach.
I have had a couple of suggestions presented before. First, I remember a suggestion that the puck can possibly hit the stick and bounce off the pad to make the rebound unpredictable. This can happen with either stick approach. Depending on the placement of the puck. I have also heard someone say that one is at risk to ramp the puck into their own net. This will happen if we have a goalline goalie with bad angles. Bad angles will be the cause for way too many bad goals anyways and maybe that goalie needs to focus on movment and angles before save selection. I have seen and used the approach in tight to the goalline and not had problems or scored on myself(if I did so, I would stop).
When stopping shots off center the stick is backed by the pad and trapper/blocker. There should be no issues in this sense. This is good technique with either approach.
I will deal with the last part of CubanPuckstoppr's quandry and then I will give you all as many reasons as to why this approach is worth integrating and what game situations this will work in. I love the debate.
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Is this approach for a broad range of students or just the top 1% (for the sake of debate).
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We teach this approach to all of our students no matter whether they are beginner Atom goalies or our Top Prospect students(Midget "AAA" and higher). This approach works well for all levels as long as fundamentals are decent to excellent. Remember the shots an Atom goalie faces is relative to their level and so level does not matter. Just like anything we teach we expect our students to practice proper form so by helping them learn the proper technique they will be more likely to succeed.
**MTN tries to teach our young goalies as many of the skills we teach our Top Prospect students as possible. Sure they may not be able to do something completely properly now, but it might click in another time. The skill can only click in another time if they have been exposed to them. Think of teaching a baby to speak. You do not stop speaking to them like an adult just because they don't know the language yet; you expose them to proper language and they eventually pick it up. Why hinder someone just because they are a certain age?**
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Intuitively I have to believe the success rate drops the harder the shot (or the more rotation to the shot). If that is true, it puts another decision on the goalie, "Is this shot too hard to ramp up?" at a critical time.
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What velocity of shot does this technique work best on? Quite honestly, the harder the shot the more predictable the trajectory. In our Top Prospects camp we have WHL, AHL and NHL shooters and not once have we had a goalie get injured or come close to injury due to this approach. Just like anything, the game must be automatic and the stick forward must be worked into the game (in practice or warmups to feel natural, like any other skill).
No shot is too hard for this approach. I have personally used this technique with success against current and former Junior "A", WHL, NCAA, AHL and NHL shooters and have seen many of our students handle a shot from Braydon Coburn without any detrimental effects. I actually, throughout my career, have always found the slower shots more unpredictable which makes rebound control tough anyways. Many goalies who move down into rec hockey from elite hockey would probably agree with me on this.
If the goalie chooses to use the butterfly and the stick has strong presence then there is less movement than if one brings the stick back for the flick. The less one does, the less likely they can mess up. Rarely does the flick not use the backing pad for leverage, unless you have monster arms like Chakal. More to come...